How it works

Every Dog starts at 50 points. Three factors move it.

ATS: the Dog cover rate for the season counts double — 2 points of score for every 1 point above a 50% cover rate. Splits: the road or home cover rate counts once. Rest & travel: a Dog on short rest against a favorite that has been off for 3 or more days loses 6 points; a Dog that played the day before loses 3 more. Weather counts only at outdoor venues with a confirmed wind edge; roof and dome games score zero.

The total is clamped to 0-100 and ranked, best to worst. Ties break on the higher win chance.

Cover chance and Win chance start from the posted prices with the book margin removed, then move 3 points toward our read for every Dog Score point above 50 — and the same below.

So the ranking and the calls always tell the same story, and you can rebuild both numbers from the page.

A Dog is Locked at game time: the line on the board when it locks is the line we grade against, and the score stops changing.

After the final, the Dog is graded against the spread and on the moneyline: Covered, Missed or Push, Won or Lost. The result goes into the Record and is never edited.

Lines, schedules, results and weather are gathered from public pages and free sources, and every number on a Game page names its source.

In the NHL, no published service tracks ATS records specifically as an underdog, so the ATS factor there uses the team’s 2025-26 season-long record against the spread from BettingPros, labeled as last season on every Game page. No home/road split is published either, so the Splits factor is left out of NHL scores entirely until a confirmed source exists.

When a number cannot be confirmed, the Dog is marked Incomplete instead of guessed. That costs a ranking, and it protects the Record.

A record with the misses left in is the only kind worth reading. Losing weeks stay on the board, unchanged.

Superdawgs never takes bets, never links to a sportsbook and never promises a win. This is research, not a tout sheet.